Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland.
Gavin M AbernethyDavid H GlassPublished in: Journal of the Royal Society, Interface (2022)
An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths.