Patient-derived assessment tool using musculoskeletal ultrasound for validation of haemarthrosis.

We evaluated 79 painful episodes in 32 patients [median age = 38 years (range 21-74)]. POC MSKUS detected haemarthrosis in 36 (46%) episodes. The strongest predictor for haemarthrosis pain was 'like a balloon swelling with water' (odds ratio [OR] 2.88 [CI .68;12.10]); 'no feeling of sponginess with movement' (OR .24[CI .07;.76]) was the strongest for arthritic pain. We identified four questions with the strongest OR for differentiating haemarthrosis pain from arthritic pain to develop an algorithm for haemarthrosis prediction. Answering these questions in "yes/no" fashion yielded estimates of the probability of haemarthrosis CONCLUSION: Objective diagnosis of haemarthrosis by MSKUS facilitated the development of a symptom-based prediction tool for diagnosis of haemarthrosis. The tool requires further validation and will be particularly helpful in situations where MSKUS is not readily available.