Outcome in Caucasian patients with hepatitis B e antigen negative chronic infection: A long-term observational cohort study.

Sensitive polymerase chain reaction assays to measure hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA became only available the last decade. Hence, the long-term outcome of Caucasian patients in Western Europe with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative chronic infection, especially with a baseline HBV DNA level ⩾2000 IU/mL, is still unclear. Out of a cohort of 1936 chronic HBV patients, 413 Caucasian individuals were identified with HBeAg-negative chronic infection, defined as persistently normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels and HBV DNA levels <20 000 IU/mL. During a mean follow-up of 12 years, 366 (88.6%) maintained an HBeAg-negative chronic infection status, whereas 25 (6.1%) developed chronic active hepatitis (CAH). In total, Nine of these 25 CAH cases were related to immunosuppression. In total, 22 (5.3%) individuals had ALT > 2 × upper limit of normal due to non-HBV-related causes. The cumulative probability of spontaneously developing CAH after 10 years was almost exclusively seen in patients with baseline HBV DNA level ⩾2000 IU/mL (11.7% vs 1.2%; P < .001). Advanced liver disease developed significantly more in patients with baseline HBV DNA level ⩾2000 IU/mL (5.2% vs 1.5%; P = .018) and occurred especially in patients with obesity (16.7% vs 4.2%; P = .049). The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma was 0.0%. Caucasian patients with HBeAg-negative chronic infection and baseline HBV DNA level <2000 IU/mL have an excellent long-term prognosis in the absence of immunosuppressive therapy. However, patients with baseline HBV DNA level ⩾2000 IU/mL are at risk to develop advanced liver disease.