Impact of COVID-19 pandemic in the Brazilian maternal mortality ratio: A comparative analysis of Neural Networks Autoregression, Holt-Winters exponential smoothing, and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average models.
Mayara Carolina CañedoThiago Inácio Barros LopesLuana RossatoIsadora Batista NunesIzadora Dillis FaccinTúlio Máximo SaloméSimone SimionattoPublished in: PloS one (2024)
Our study revealed an increase in BMMR and its temporal correlation with COVID-19 incidence. Additionally, it showed that Holt-Winter and ARIMA models can be employed for BMMR forecasting with lower errors. This information can assist governments and public health agencies in making timely and informed decisions.