Possibility of long-termed prediction of NACPs and NADPs of COVID-19 in different countries and regions via tanh basic functions.

In this paper, we make long-termed prediction for numbers of accumulative confirmed patients (NACPs) and numbers of accumulative death patients (NADPs) of COVID-19 in different countries and regions by fitting method. We use hyperbolic tangent functions as basic functions for the fitting method. The results indicate that it is possible to make long-termed prediction for NACPs and NADPs of COVID-19 by using a small amount of data. And we can estimate the arrival times of the plateau phases of COVID-19 in some countries and regions. It shows that our method is simple (model-free) and very effective in long-termed prediction of NACPs and NADPs with small data.