Login / Signup

Prior beliefs and the interpretation of scientific results.

Ami Eidels
Published in: Royal Society open science (2023)
How do prior beliefs affect the interpretation of scientific results? I discuss a hypothetical scenario where researchers publish results that could either support a theory they believe in, or refute that theory, and ask if the two instances carry the same weight. More colloquially, I ask if we should overweigh scientific results supporting a given theory and reported by a researcher, or a team, that initially did not support that theory. I illustrate the challenge using two examples from psychology: evidence accumulation models, and extra sensory perception.
Keyphrases
  • body mass index
  • physical activity
  • palliative care
  • weight loss
  • quality improvement