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Complex hazard cascade culminating in the Anak Krakatau sector collapse.

Thomas R WalterM Haghshenas HaghighiFelix M SchneiderDiego CoppolaMahdi MotaghJoachim SaulAndrey BabeykoTorsten DahmValentin R TrollFrederik TilmannSebastian HeimannSébastien ValadeRahmat TriyonoRokhis KhomarudinNugraha KartadinataMarco LaioloFrancesco MassimettiPeter Gaebler
Published in: Nature communications (2019)
Flank instability and sector collapses, which pose major threats, are common on volcanic islands. On 22 Dec 2018, a sector collapse event occurred at Anak Krakatau volcano in the Sunda Strait, triggering a deadly tsunami. Here we use multiparametric ground-based and space-borne data to show that prior to its collapse, the volcano exhibited an elevated state of activity, including precursory thermal anomalies, an increase in the island's surface area, and a gradual seaward motion of its southwestern flank on a dipping décollement. Two minutes after a small earthquake, seismic signals characterize the collapse of the volcano's flank at 13:55 UTC. This sector collapse decapitated the cone-shaped edifice and triggered a tsunami that caused 430 fatalities. We discuss the nature of the precursor processes underpinning the collapse that culminated in a complex hazard cascade with important implications for the early detection of potential flank instability at other volcanoes.
Keyphrases
  • electronic health record
  • risk assessment
  • deep learning