Using Test Positivity and Reported Case Rates to Estimate State-Level COVID-19 Prevalence and Seroprevalence in the United States.
Weihsueh A ChiuMartial L Ndeffo MbahPublished in: medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences (2020)
Relying on reported cases and test positivity rates individually can result in incorrect inferences as to the spread of COVID-19, and public health decision-making can be improved by instead using their geometric mean as a measure of COVID-19 prevalence and transmission.