Prediction of diabetic foot ulcer progression: a computational study.

The development of foot ulcers is a common consequence of severe diabetes. Due to vascular disorders and impeded healing caused by the disease, most foot ulcers have been reported to be affected by body weight and progress with time. Also, abnormal distribution of plantar pressures has been observed to cause the formation of additional ulcers, which may collectively lead to traumatic amputations. While a study of such pathophysiology is not possible through experiments, a few computational modelling works have investigated diabetic foot ulcers. To date, ulcers with a few sizes and locations have been studied, and their effect on the plantar stresses has been quantified. In this work, we have attempted to study the effect of all possible ulcer locations on the generated plantar peak stresses and peak stress locations where additional ulcers may form. Also, the effect of ulcer location on the possible ulcer growth was investigated. A full-scale foot model was developed and a total of 52 ulcer locations were simulated separately, with standing and walking loads. The generated stresses were normalised with the foot size and statistically analysed to develop novel formulations for predicting peak plantar stresses and their locations for any known ulcer location. The results from this study are anticipated to provide important guidelines to doctors and medical practitioners for predicting foot ulcer progression in diabetic patients with existing ulcers and allow the administration of timely preventive interventions.