A Bayesian System to Detect and Track Outbreaks of Influenza-Like Illnesses Including Novel Diseases: Algorithm Development and Validation.

 The results reported in this paper provide support that ILI Tracker was able to track well the incidence of 4 modeled influenza-like diseases over a 1-year period, relative to laboratory-confirmed cases, and it was computationally efficient in doing so. The system was also able to detect a likely novel outbreak of EV-D68 early in an outbreak that occurred in Allegheny County in 2014 as well as clinically characterize that outbreak disease accurately.