UK prevalence of underlying conditions which increase the risk of severe COVID-19 disease: a point prevalence study using electronic health records.
Jemma L WalkerDaniel J GrintHelen StrongmanRosalind M EggoMaria PeppaCaroline MinassianKathryn E MansfieldChristopher T RentschIan J DouglasRohini MathurAngel Y S WongJennifer K QuintNick AndrewsJamie Lopez BernalJ Anthony ScottMary RamsayLiam SmeethHelen I McDonaldPublished in: BMC public health (2021)
The population at risk of severe COVID-19 (defined as either aged ≥70 years, or younger with an underlying health condition) comprises 18.5 million individuals in the UK, including a considerable proportion of school-aged and working-aged individuals. Our national estimates broadly support the use of Global Burden of Disease modelled estimates in other countries. We provide age- and region- stratified prevalence for each condition to support effective modelling of public health interventions and planning of vaccine resource allocation. The high prevalence of health conditions among older age groups suggests that age-targeted vaccination strategies may efficiently target individuals at higher risk of severe COVID-19.