The renal risk score is a preferred index that can predict ESRD in Chinese AAGN patients, especially in the high-risk group with worse renal outcomes. Key Points • The eGFR and percentage of normal glomeruli were valuable predictors of renal outcome, whereas TA/IF was not. • We confirmed the renal risk score is a preferred index that can predict ESRD in Chinese AAGN patients. • Based on the renal risk score, the high-risk group had worse renal outcomes than the low-risk group and the medium-risk group.