Estimation and probabilistic projection of age- and sex-specific mortality rates across Brazilian municipalities between 2010 and 2030.

Marcos R GonzagaBernardo L QueirozFlávio H M A FreireJosé H C Monteiro-da-SilvaEverton E C LimaWalter P Silva-JúniorVictor H D DiógenesRenzo Flores-OrtizLilia C C da CostaElzo P Pinto-JuniorMaria Yury IchiharaCamila S S TeixeiraFlávia J O AlvesAline S RochaAndrêa J F FerreiraMaurício L BarretoSrinivasa Vittal KatikireddiRuth DundasAlastair H Leyland

Published in: Population health metrics (2024)

Mortality rates at a small-area level were successfully estimated and forecasted, with associated uncertainty estimates also generated for future life tables. Our approach could be applied across countries with data quality issues to improve public policy planning.

Keyphrases

healthcare
cardiovascular events
mental health
risk factors
public health
electronic health record
emergency department
big data
coronary artery disease
magnetic resonance imaging
machine learning