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External validation of Machine Learning models for COVID-19 detection based on Complete Blood Count.

Andrea CampagnerAnna CarobeneFederico Cabitza
Published in: Health information science and systems (2021)
We report an average AUC of 95% and average Brier score of 0.11, out-performing existing ML methods, and showing good cross-site transportability. The best performing model (SVM) reported an average AUC of 97.5% (Sensitivity: 87.5%, Specificity: 94%), comparable with the performance of RT-PCR, and was also the best calibrated. The validated models can be useful in the early identification of potential COVID-19 patients, due to the rapid availability of CBC exams, and in multiple test settings.
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