PaCAR: COVID-19 Pandemic Control Decision Making via Large-Scale Agent-Based Modeling and Deep Reinforcement Learning.
Xudong GuoPeiyu ChenShihao LiangZengtao JiaoLinfeng LiJun YanYadong HuangYi LiuWenhui FanPublished in: Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making (2022)
We introduce a new efficient, large-scale agent-based epidemic simulator in our framework PaCAR, which can be applied to train reinforcement learning networks in a real-world scenario with a population of more than 10,000,000.We develop a novel learning mechanism in PaCAR, which augments reinforcement learning with sequence learning, to learn the tradeoff policy decision of saving lives and economic development in the post-vaccination era.We demonstrate that the policy learned by PaCAR outperforms different benchmark policies under various reality conditions during COVID-19.We analyze the resulting policy given by PaCAR, and the lessons may shed light on better pandemic preparedness plans in the future.