MRI Tumor Regression Grade Combined with T2-Weighted Volumetry May Predict Histopathological Response in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer following Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy-A New Scoring System Proposal.

Modern studies focus on the discovery of innovative methods to improve the value of post-treatment magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in the prediction of pathological responses to preoperative neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) . The aim of this study was to assess the potential benefits of combining magnetic resonance tumor regression grade (mrTRG) with T2-weighted volumetry in the prediction of pathological responses to nCRT in LARC. This was a cohort study conducted on patients with histopathologically confirmed LARC in a period from 2020 to 2022. After histopathological verification, all patients underwent initial MRI studies, while the follow-up MRI was performed after nCRT. Tumor characteristics, MRI estimated tumor regression grade (mrTRG) and tumor volumetry were evaluated both initially and at follow-up. All patients were classified into responders and non-responders according to pathological tumor regression grade (pTRG) and mrTRG. A total of 71 patients, mostly male (66.2%) were included in the study. The median tumor volume reduction rate was significantly higher in nCRT-responders compared to non-responders (79.9% vs. 63.3%) ( p = 0.003). Based on ROC analysis, optimal cut-off value for tumor volume reduction rate was determined with an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.724 ( p = 0.003). Using the tumor volume reduction rate ≥75% with the addition of response to nCRT according to mrTRG, a new scoring system for prediction of pTRG to preoperative nCRT in LARC was developed. Diagnostic performance of prediction score was tested and the sensitivity, PPV, specificity, and NPV were 81.8%, 56.3%, 71.4%, and 89.7%, respectively. The combination of mrTRG and T2-weighted volumetry increases the MRI-based prediction of pTRG to preoperative nCRT in LARC. The proposed scoring system could aid in distinguishing responders to nCRT, as these patients could benefit from organ-preserving treatment and a "watch and wait" strategy.