Daily Forecasting of New Cases for Regional Epidemics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 with Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification.
Yen Ting LinJacob NeumannEly F MillerRichard G PosnerAbhishek MallelaCosmin SaftaJaideep RayGautam ThakurSupriya ChinthavaliWilliam S HlavacekPublished in: medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences (2021)
We report models for regional COVID-19 epidemics and use of Bayesian inference to quantify uncertainty in daily predictions of expected reporting of new cases, enabling identification of new trends in surveillance data.