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Projecting supply and demand for pharmacists in pharmacies based on the number of prescriptions and system dynamics modeling.

Yasuhiro MoriiSeiichi FurutaTomoki IshikawaKensuke FujiwaraHiroko YamashinaKatsuhiko Ogasawara
Published in: Human resources for health (2020)
Optimal distribution should be considered, as the results reveal a possible shortage in the number of pharmacists in rural medical areas in 2015-2025. Conversely, as the demand is projected to decrease after 2025 with a population decrease, future supply should be determined in order not to cause an oversupply after 2025. Refinements of the projection model should be conducted since the related factors such as the roles of pharmacists will change over time.
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