Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination.
Shaun A TrueloveClaire P SmithMichelle QinLuke C MullanyRebecca K BorcheringJustin LesslerKatriona SheaEmily HowertonLucie ContaminJohn LevanderJessica E SalernoHarry HochheiserMatt KinseyKate TallaksenShelby WilsonLauren ShinKaitlin Rainwater-LovettJoseph Chadi LemaitreJuan Dent HulseJoshua KaminskyElizabeth C LeeJavier Perez-SaezAlison L HillDean KarlenMatteo ChinazziJessica T DavisKunpeng MuXinyue XiongAna Pastore Y PionttiAlessandro VespignaniAjitesh SrivastavaPrzemyslaw PorebskiSrinivasan VenkatramananAniruddha AdigaBryan Leroy LewisBrian KlahnJoseph OuttenJames SchlittPatrick CorbettPyrros Alexander TelionisLijing WangAkhil Sai PeddireddyBenjamin HurtJiangzhuo ChenAnil VullikantiMadhav MaratheStefan HoopsParantapa BhattacharyaDustin MachiShi ChenRajib PaulDaniel JaniesJean-Claude ThillMarta GalantiTeresa YamanaSen PeiJeffrey ShamanNicholas G ReichJessica M HealyRachel B SlaytonMatthew BiggerstaffMichael A JohanssonMichael C RungeCecile ViboudPublished in: medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences (2021)
Renewed efforts to increase vaccination uptake are critical to limiting transmission and disease, particularly in states with lower current vaccination coverage. Reaching higher vaccination goals in the coming months can potentially avert 1.5 million cases and 21,000 deaths and improve the ability to safely resume social contacts, and educational and business activities. Continued or renewed non-pharmaceutical interventions, including masking, can also help limit transmission, particularly as schools and businesses reopen.