Fetal hemoglobin is the strongest modulator of sickle cell anemia but simply measuring its blood levels is an insufficient means of forecasting an individual's prognosis. A more precise method would be to know the distribution of fetal hemoglobin levels across the population of red cells, an assay not yet available. Prognostic measures have been developed using genetic and other signatures, but their predictive value is suboptimal. Widely applicable assays must be developed to allow a tailored approach to using the several new treatments that are likely to be available in the near future.