Projecting the course of COVID-19 in Turkey: A probabilistic modeling approach
Aybar Can AcarAhmet Görkem ErHüseyin Cahit BurduroğluSeher Nur SülküYesim Aydin SonLevent AkinSerhat UnalPublished in: Turkish journal of medical sciences (2021)
We expect that drastic changes in the course of COVID-19 in Turkey will cause the model to suffer in predictive validity, and this can be used to monitor the epidemic. We hope that the discussion on these projections and the limitations of the epidemiological forecasting will be beneficial to the medical community, and policy makers.