High baseline total lesion glycolysis predicts early progression of disease within 24 months in patients with high-tumor-burden follicular lymphoma.

Despite the introduction of rituximab-containing regimens, approximately 20% of patients with follicular lymphoma (FL) still experience progression of disease within 24 months (POD24) and have poor overall survival. Therefore, a more accurate risk assessment tool is required. We investigated the predictive value of two new volume-based parameters determined from baseline 18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT), baseline total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG), in 45 patients with high-tumor-burden FL who underwent baseline PET/CT. We observed that high TMTV, high TLG, and poor initial treatment response (less than complete [metabolic] response [non-CR/CMR] at the end of induction therapy) independently predicted poor PFS. Notably, POD24-positive patients were more common in the high-TLG group than in the high-TMTV group, which suggests that TLG is a stronger predictor of outcomes than TMTV. Combining baseline TLG and initial treatment response showed that patients with both high TLG and non-CR/CMR experienced significantly poorer outcomes, with a 2 year PFS of 0% (hazard ratio 60.39, P = 0.000002). This combination had 56% sensitivity and 100% specificity for detecting patients who would experience POD24. Baseline TLG and initial treatment response can precisely identify patients at high risk of POD24.