Probabilistic Seismic Response Prediction of Three-Dimensional Structures Based on Bayesian Convolutional Neural Network.

Seismic response prediction is a challenging problem and is significant in every stage during a structure's life cycle. Deep neural network has proven to be an efficient tool in the response prediction of structures. However, a conventional neural network with deterministic parameters is unable to predict the random dynamic response of structures. In this paper, a deep Bayesian convolutional neural network is proposed to predict seismic response. The Bayes-backpropagation algorithm is applied to train the proposed Bayesian deep learning model. A numerical example of a three-dimensional building structure is utilized to validate the performance of the proposed model. The result shows that both acceleration and displacement responses can be predicted with a high level of accuracy by using the proposed method. The main statistical indices of prediction results agree closely with the results from finite element analysis. Furthermore, the influence of random parameters and the robustness of the proposed model are discussed.