Temporal dynamics in total excess mortality and COVID-19 deaths in Italian cities.
Paola MichelozziFrancesca de'DonatoMatteo ScortichiniPatrizio PezzottiMassimo StafoggiaManuela De SarioGiuseppe CostaFiammetta NoccioliFlavia RiccardoAntonino BellaMoreno DemariaPasqualino RossiSilvio BrusaferroGiovanni RezzaMarina DavoliPublished in: BMC public health (2020)
An underestimation of COVID-19 deaths is particularly evident among the elderly. When quantifying the burden in mortality related to COVID-19, it is important to consider seasonal dynamics in mortality. Surveillance data provides an impartial indicator for monitoring the following phases of the epidemic, and may help in the evaluation of mitigation measures adopted.