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COVID-19 in Germany and China: mitigation versus elimination strategy.

Guangyu LuOliver RazumAlbrecht JahnYuying ZhangBrett SuttonDevi SridharKoya AriyoshiLorenz von SeidleinOlaf Müller
Published in: Global health action (2021)
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic shows variable dynamics in WHO Regions, with lowest disease burden in the Western-Pacific Region. While China has been able to rapidly eliminate transmission of SARS-CoV-2, Germany - as well as most of Europe and the Americas - is struggling with high numbers of cases and deaths. Objective: We analyse COVID-19 epidemiology and control strategies in China and in Germany, two countries which have chosen profoundly different approaches to deal with the epidemic. Methods: In this narrative review, we searched the literature from 1 December 2019, to 4 December 2020. Results: China and several neighbours (e.g. Australia, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, Thailand) have achieved COVID-19 elimination or sustained low case numbers. This can be attributed to: (1) experience with previous coronavirus outbreaks; (2) classification of SARS-CoV-2 in the highest risk category and consequent early employment of aggressive control measures; (3) mandatory isolation of cases and contacts in institutions; (4) broad employment of modern contact tracking technology; (5) travel restrictions to prevent SARS-CoV-2 re-importation; (6) cohesive communities with varying levels of social control. Conclusions: Early implementation of intense and sustained control measures is key to achieving a near normal social and economic life.
Keyphrases
  • sars cov
  • respiratory syndrome coronavirus
  • coronavirus disease
  • healthcare
  • mental health
  • machine learning
  • systematic review
  • primary care
  • climate change
  • south africa
  • deep learning