Estimated impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer services and excess 1-year mortality in people with cancer and multimorbidity: near real-time data on cancer care, cancer deaths and a population-based cohort study.
Alvina G LaiLaura PaseaAmitava BanerjeeGeoff HallSpiros DenaxasWai Hoong ChangMichail KatsoulisBryan WilliamsDeenan PillayMahdad NoursadeghiDavid LinchDerralynn HughesMartin D ForsterClare TurnbullNatalie K FitzpatrickKathryn BoydGraham R FosterTariq EnverVahe NafilyanBen HumberstoneRichard D NealMatt CooperMonica JonesKathy Pritchard-JonesRichard SullivanCharlie DavieMark LawlerHarry HemingwayPublished in: BMJ open (2020)
Dramatic reductions were detected in the demand for, and supply of, cancer services which have not fully recovered with lockdown easing. These may contribute, over a 1-year time horizon, to substantial excess mortality among people with cancer and multimorbidity. It is urgent to understand how the recovery of general practitioner, oncology and other hospital services might best mitigate these long-term excess mortality risks.