Transmission dynamics of cholera in Yemen, 2017: a real time forecasting.
Hiroshi NishiuraShinya TsuzukiBaoyin YuanTakayuki YamaguchiYusuke AsaiPublished in: Theoretical biology & medical modelling (2017)
Cholera epidemic in Yemen, 2017 was predicted to soon start to decrease. If the weekly incidence is reported in the up-to-the-minute manner and updated in later weeks, not a single data point but the entire epidemic curve must be precisely updated.