Assessing the reliability of predicted plant trait distributions at the global scale.
Coline C F BoonmanAna Benítez-LópezAafke M SchipperWilfried ThuillerMadhur AnandBruno E L CeraboliniJohannes H C CornelissenAndrés González-MeloWesley Neil HattinghPedro HiguchiDaniel C LaughlinVladimir G OnipchenkoJosep PenuelasLourens PoorterNadejda A SoudzilovskaiaMark A J HuijbregtsLuca SantiniPublished in: Global ecology and biogeography : a journal of macroecology (2020)
Plant community traits can be predicted reliably at the global scale when using an ensemble approach and high-quality data for traits that mostly respond to large-scale environmental factors. We recommend applying ensemble forecasting to account for model uncertainty, using representative trait data, and more routinely assessing the reliability of trait predictions.