The predictors of lymphopenia and its effects on survival in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

To investigate the impact of the effective radiation dose to immune cells (EDIC) and gross tumor volume (GTV) on lymphopenia and survival in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LAESCC). Between January 2013 and December 2020, 272 LAESCC patients were treated with definitive radiotherapy in two institutions. Based on radiation doses to the lungs, heart, and body region scanned, EDIC was calculated as an equal uniform dose to the total blood considering blood flow and fraction effect. The radiotherapy plan was used to calculate the GTVs. Lymphopenia was graded based on the lowest lymphocyte count during RT. The overall survival (OS), progress-free survival (PFS), and local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) were analyzed statistically. The lowest lymphocyte count was significantly correlated with EDIC ( r = -0.389, p < .001) and GTV ( r = -0.211, p < .001). Lymphopenia, EDIC, and GTV are risk factors for patients with ESCC. In a Kaplan-Meier analysis with EDIC and GTV as stratification factors, lymphopenia was not associated with OS in the EDIC>12.9 Gy group ( p  = .294)and EDIC ≤ 12.9 Gy group, and it was also not associated with OS in GTV>68.8 cm 3 group ( p  = .242) and GTV ≤ 68.8 cm 3 group( p  = .165). GTV and EDIC had an impact on the relationship between lymphopenia and OS in patients with LAESCC undergoing definitive RT. Poorer OS, PFS, and LRFS are correlated with lymphopenia, higher EDIC, and larger GTV.