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Markov Cohort State-Transition Model: A Multinomial Distribution Representation.

Rowan IskandarCassandra Berns
Published in: Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making (2022)
A Markov model simulates the average experience of a cohort of patients.Monte Carlo simulation, the standard approach for estimating the variance, is computationally expensive.A multinomial distribution provides an exact representation of a Markov model.Using the known formulas of a multinomial distribution, the mean and variance of a Markov model can be readily calculated.
Keyphrases
  • end stage renal disease
  • newly diagnosed
  • chronic kidney disease
  • patient reported outcomes
  • molecular dynamics