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The prognostic role of Gender-Age-Physiology system in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients treated with pirfenidone.

Sergio HarariAntonella CaminatiMarco ConfalonieriVenerino PolettiCarlo VancheriAlberto PesciPaola RoglianiFabrizio LuppiCarlo AgostiniPaola RottoliAlessandro Sanduzzi ZamparelliAlfredo SebastianiRossana Della PortaFrancesco SaltonBarbara MessoreSara TomassettiRoberta RossoAlice BiffiErmanno PuxedduStefania CerriFrancesco CinettoRosa Metella RefiniMarialuisa BocchinoLoreta Di MicheleClaudia SpecchiaCarlo Alberanull null
Published in: The clinical respiratory journal (2019)
Sixty-eight IPF patients were enrolled in the study. The median follow-up was 2.4 years (range 0.1-7.4 years). A total of 22 deaths as first event (32%) and of 10 lung transplantation (15%) were recorded. The cumulative incidence of mortality at 1, 2 and 3 years was 10.4%, 22.4% and 38.4%, respectively. The differences between the predicted and observed mortality were not significant for the GAP index while the observed mortality become comparable to that predicted by the GAP calculator only in the third year of follow-up. The C-index for the GAP index was 0.74 (95% CI 0.57-0.93) while the C-statistic value for the GAP calculator was 0.77 (95% CI 0.59-0.95).
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