Quantifying excess deaths related to heatwaves under climate change scenarios: A multicountry time series modelling study.
Yuming GuoAntonio GasparriniShanshan LiFrancesco SeraAna Maria Vicedo-CabreraMicheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio CoelhoPaulo Hilario Nascimento SaldivaEric LavigneBenjawan TawatsupaKornwipa PunnasiriAla OvercencoPatricia Matus CorreaNicolas Valdes OrtegaHaidong KanSamuel OsorioJouni J K JaakkolaNiilo R I RytiPatrick G GoodmanAriana ZekaPaola MichelozziMatteo ScortichiniMasahiro HashizumeYasushi HondaXerxes SeposoHo KimAurelio TobiasCarmen IñiguezBertil ForsbergDaniel Oudin ÅströmYue Leon GuoBing-Yu ChenAntonella ZanobettiJoel SchwartzTran Ngoc DangVan Dung DoMichelle L BellBen ArmstrongKristie L EbiShilu TongPublished in: PLoS medicine (2018)
This study provides a comprehensive characterisation of future heatwave-related excess mortality across various regions and under alternative scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions, different assumptions of adaptation, and different scenarios of population change. The projections can help decision makers in planning adaptation and mitigation strategies for climate change.