Using epidemiological evidence to forecast population need for early treatment programmes in mental health: a generalisable Bayesian prediction methodology applied to and validated for first-episode psychosis in England.
Keltie McDonaldTao DingHannah KerThandiwe Rebecca DliwayoDavid P J OsbornPia WohlandJeremy W CoidPaul FrenchPeter B JonesGianluca BaioJames Bowes KirkbridePublished in: The British journal of psychiatry. Supplement (2021)
Our evidence-based methodology provides an accurate, validated tool to inform clinical provision of EIP services about future population need for care, based on local variation of major social determinants of psychosis.