Optimal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine allocation using real-time attack-rate estimates in Rhode Island and Massachusetts.
Thu Nguyen-Anh TranNathan B WikleEmmy AlbertHaider InamEmily StrongKarel BrindaScott M LeighowFuhan YangSajid HossainJustin R PritchardPhilip ChanWilliam P HanageEphraim M HanksMaciej F BoniPublished in: BMC medicine (2021)
Assuming high vaccination coverage (>28%) and no major changes in distancing, masking, gathering size, hygiene guidelines, and virus transmissibility between 1 January 2021 and 1 July 2021 a combination of vaccination and population immunity may lead to low or near-zero transmission levels by the second quarter of 2021.