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Evaluating the accuracy of a state-of-the-art large language model for prediction of admissions from the emergency room.

Benjamin Scott GlicksbergPrem TimsinaDhaval PatelAshwin S SawantAkhil VaidGanesh RautAlexander W CharneyDonald ApakamaBrendan G CarrRobert M FreemanGirish N NadkarniEyal Klang
Published in: Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA (2024)
The naïve LLM had limited performance but showed significant improvement in predicting ED admissions when supplemented with real-world examples to learn from, particularly through RAG, and/or numerical probabilities from traditional ML models. Its peak performance, although slightly lower than the pure ML model, is noteworthy given its potential for providing reasoning behind predictions. Further refinement of LLMs with real-world data is necessary for successful integration as decision-support tools in care settings.
Keyphrases
  • emergency department
  • healthcare
  • public health
  • palliative care
  • autism spectrum disorder
  • electronic health record
  • machine learning
  • deep learning