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Descriptive epidemiology of coronavirus disease 2019 in Nigeria, 27 February-6 June 2020.

Kelly Osezele ElimianChinwe Lucia OchuE IloriJ OladejoE IgumborL SteinhardtJ WagaiC ArinzeW UkponuC ObiekeaO AderinolaE CrawfordA OlayinkaC Dan-NwaforT OkworY DisuA Yinka-OgunleyeN E KanuO A OlawepoO ArunaC A MichaelL DunkwuO IpadeolaD NaidooC D UmeokonkwoA MatthiasO OkunromadeS BadaruA JinaduO OgunbodeA EgwuenuA JafiyaM DalhatF SalehG B EbhodagheA AhumibeR U YasheR AttehW E NwachukwuC EzeokaforD OlaleyeZ HabibI Abdus-SalamE PembiD JohnU J OkhuaroboH AssadY GandiB MuhammadC NwagwoguI NwadiutoK SulaimanI IwujiA OkejiS ThlizaS FagbemiR UsmanA A MohammedO Adeola-MusaM IshakaU AketemoK KamaldeenC E ObaghaA O AkinyodeP NgukuN MbaC Ihekweazu
Published in: Epidemiology and infection (2020)
The objective of this study was to describe the epidemiology of COVID-19 in Nigeria with a view of generating evidence to enhance planning and response strategies. A national surveillance dataset between 27 February and 6 June 2020 was retrospectively analysed, with confirmatory testing for COVID-19 done by real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). The primary outcomes were cumulative incidence (CI) and case fatality (CF). A total of 40 926 persons (67% of total 60 839) had complete records of RT-PCR test across 35 states and the Federal Capital Territory, 12 289 (30.0%) of whom were confirmed COVID-19 cases. Of those confirmed cases, 3467 (28.2%) had complete records of clinical outcome (alive or dead), 342 (9.9%) of which died. The overall CI and CF were 5.6 per 100 000 population and 2.8%, respectively. The highest proportion of COVID-19 cases and deaths were recorded in persons aged 31-40 years (25.5%) and 61-70 years (26.6%), respectively; and males accounted for a higher proportion of confirmed cases (65.8%) and deaths (79.0%). Sixty-six per cent of confirmed COVID-19 cases were asymptomatic at diagnosis. In conclusion, this paper has provided an insight into the early epidemiology of COVID-19 in Nigeria, which could be useful for contextualising public health planning.
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