The COVID-19 Pandemic in Brazil: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation projections and observed evolution, May-August, 2020.
Caroline SteinEwerton CousinIsis Eloah MachadoMariana Santos Felisbino-MendesValéria Maria de Azeredo PassosTatiane Moraes de SousaMaria Inês SchmidtJohn GallagherMohsen NaghaviBruce Bartholow DuncanPublished in: Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil (2021)
Short and medium-term projections provide important and sufficiently accurate data to inform health managers, elected officials, and society at large. After following an arduous course up until August, the pandemic is projected to decline steadily although slowly, with ~400 deaths/day still occurring in early December.