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Strength of statistical evidence for the efficacy of cancer drugs: a Bayesian reanalysis of randomized trials supporting Food and Drug Administration approval.

Merle-Marie PittelkowMaximilian LindeYmkje Anna de VriesLars G HemkensAndreas M SchmittRob R MeijerDon van Ravenzwaaij
Published in: Journal of clinical epidemiology (2024)
BFs offer novel insights into the strength of statistical evidence underlying cancer drug approvals. Most novel cancer drugs lack strong statistical evidence that they improve OS, and a few lack statistical evidence for efficacy altogether. These cases require a transparent and clear explanation. When evidence is ambiguous, additional postmarketing trials could reduce uncertainty.
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