Development and external validation of a prediction model for patient-relevant outcomes in patients with chronic widespread pain and fibromyalgia.

Prediction modelling of outcome in rehabilitation has been sparsely explored. Such models may guide clinical decision-making. This study developed and externally validated prediction models for outcomes of people with chronic widespread pain and fibromyalgia in a rehabilitation setting. Multivariable prediction models generated poor to excellent predictions of patient-relevant outcomes, but the complexity of these models may reduce their clinical utility. Simple univariable prediction models were nearly as accurate and may have more potential for use in clinical practice.