Mathematical Modelling to Assess the Impact of Lockdown on COVID-19 Transmission in India: Model Development and Validation.

Bakiya Ambikapathy Kamalanand Krishnamurthy

Published in: JMIR public health and surveillance (2020)

Implementation of a strict lockdown for a period of at least 21 days is expected to reduce the transmission of COVID-19. However, a further extension of up to 42 days is required to significantly reduce the transmission of COVID-19 in India. Any relaxation in the lockdown may lead to exponential transmission, resulting in a heavy burden on the health care system in the country.

Keyphrases

coronavirus disease
sars cov
healthcare
respiratory syndrome coronavirus
quality improvement
risk factors
single molecule