Workforce predictive risk modelling: development of a model to identify general practices at risk of a supply-demand imbalance.
Gary A AbelMayam Gomez-CanoNavonil MustafeeAndi SmartEmily FletcherChristopher SalisburyRupa ChilversSarah Gerard DeanSuzanne H RichardsF WarrenJohn L CampbellPublished in: BMJ open (2020)
It is possible to make reasonable predictions of an individual general practice's future risk of undersupply of GP workforce with respect to its patient population. However, the predictions are inherently limited by the data available.