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Utilizing Nontraditional Data Sources for Near Real-Time Estimation of Transmission Dynamics During the 2015-2016 Colombian Zika Virus Disease Outbreak.

Maimuna S MajumderMauricio SantillanaSumiko R MekaruDenise P McGinnisKamran KhanJohn S Brownstein
Published in: JMIR public health and surveillance (2016)
Although modeling using the traditional (INS) data yielded higher R estimates than the digital (smoothed HealthMap) data, modeled ranges for Robs were comparable across both data sources. As a result, the narrow range of possible case projections generated by the traditional (INS) data was largely encompassed by the wider range produced by the digital (smoothed HealthMap) data. Thus, in the absence of traditional surveillance data, digital surveillance data can yield similar estimates for key transmission parameters and should be utilized in other Zika virus-affected countries to assess outbreak dynamics in near real time.
Keyphrases
  • zika virus
  • electronic health record
  • big data
  • dengue virus
  • aedes aegypti