Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: a Boltzmann function-based modeling study.

Yuanyuan GaoZuqin ZhangWei YaoQi YingCheng LongXinmiao Fu

Published in: Infection control and hospital epidemiology (2020)

The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187-3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109-112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095-3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494-2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95% CI, 607-632) outside Wuhan.

Keyphrases

coronavirus disease
sars cov
south africa
genome wide
risk assessment
dna methylation
single cell
climate change