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Revisiting the Natural History of Pulmonary Tuberculosis: A Bayesian Estimation of Natural Recovery and Mortality Rates.

Romain RagonnetJennifer A FleggSamuel L BrillemanEdine W TiemersmaYayehirad A MelsewEmma S McBrydeJames M Trauer
Published in: Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America (2021)
TB-specific mortality rates are around 15 times higher for SP-TB than for SN-TB patients. This difference was underestimated dramatically in previous TB modeling studies, raising concerns about the accuracy of the associated predictions. Despite being less infectious, SN-TB may be responsible for equivalent numbers of secondary infections as SP-TB due to its much longer duration.
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