Rethinking causal assumptions about maternal BMI, gestational weight gain, and adverse pregnancy outcomes.

There is evidence of a meaningful relationship between maternal BMI and GWG and between maternal BMI and adverse pregnancy outcomes. There is no evidence that the effect of maternal BMI on outcomes is via an effect on GWG. Our analyses also cast doubt on the existence of a relationship between 'excessive' GWG and adverse pregnancy outcomes. Our findings challenge the practice of actively managing GWG throughout pregnancy.