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Modeling of the HIV epidemic and continuum of care in French Guiana.

Mathieu NacherLeila AdriouchFlorence HuberVincent VantilckeFélix DjossouNarcisse ElengaAntoine AdenisPierre Couppié
Published in: PloS one (2018)
The estimations of the total HIV population by both models show that the HIV population is still growing. The incidence rate declined in 2000 and the decline of the number of newly acquired HIV infections, after a decline after 2003 is offset by population growth. The proportion of undiagnosed infections has declined to 15% but the number of undiagnosed infections remains stable. The HIV cascade shows that despite good results for treatment in care, reaching the 90*90*90 UNAIDS target may be difficult because a significant proportion of patients are lost to follow-up.
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