Prediction of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis progression using early quantitative changes on CT imaging for a short term of clinical 18-24-month follow-ups.

• Changes on HRCT using quantitative texture-based scores can play a pivotal role for providing information and an aid tool for timely management decision for patients with IPF. • Quantitative changes on HRCT of 4% or more, which matched 6-month prior changes with visual assessment of worsening, can play a pivotal role for providing prediction of clinical progression by 3-5 folds higher in the next incidence, compared with those of subjects with less than 4% changes. • Early structural changes of 4% or more in a paired HRCT scans derived by quantitative scores can predict the progression in lung function in 1-2 years in subjects with IPF, which is critical information for timely management decision for subjects with IPF where the median survival is 2 to 5 years.