Prediction of disease severity in COPD: a deep learning approach for anomaly-based quantitative assessment of chest CT.

• A self-supervised DL anomaly detection method discriminated low-risk individuals and COPD subjects, outperforming classic DL methods on two datasets (COPDGene AUC = 84.3%, COSYCONET AUC = 76.3%). • Our contrastive task exhibits robust performance even without the inclusion of expiratory images, while voxel-based methods demonstrate significant performance enhancement when incorporating expiratory images, in the COPDGene dataset. • Anomaly scores improved the fitting of linear mixed effects models in predicting clinical parameters and imaging alterations (p < 0.001) and were directly associated with clinical outcomes (p < 0.001).