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Mathematical model of the dynamics of transmission and control of sporotrichosis in domestic cats.

Aurélio A AraújoCláudia CodeçoDayvison Francis Saraiva FreitasPriscila Marques de MacedoSandro A PereiraIsabella D F GremiãoFlávio Codeço Coelho
Published in: PloS one (2023)
Sporotrichosis is a subcutaneous mycosis with a global distribution, also known as "rose gardener's disease". Brazil is experiencing a rapid spread of the zoonotic transmission of of Sporothrix brasiliensis, the main etiological agent of this disease in this country, affecting domestic felines. Cost-effective interventions need to be developed to control this emergent public health problem. To allow for the comparison of alternative control strategies, we propose in this paper, a mathematical model representing the transmission of S. brasiliensis among cats, stratified by age and sex. Analytical properties of the model are derived and simulations show possible strategies for reducing the endemic levels of the disease in the cat population, with a positive impact on human health. The scenarios included mass treatment of infected cats and mass implementation of contact reduction practices, such as neutering. The results indicate that mass treatment can reduce substantially the disease prevalence, and this effect is potentialized when combined with neutering or other contact-reduction interventions. On the other hand, contact-reduction methods alone are not sufficient to reduce prevalence.
Keyphrases
  • public health
  • human health
  • healthcare
  • risk assessment
  • primary care
  • climate change
  • risk factors
  • physical activity
  • molecular dynamics
  • combination therapy
  • monte carlo