Risk factors for COVID-19 and their association with mortality in Ecuadorian patients admitted to the ICU: A retrospective cohort multicentric study.
Luis Fuenmayor-GonzálezJair Vera-OrmazaHua ShenBelén Corella-OrtegaThalía Fajardo-LoaizaCristina Borja-PérezNancy Ochoa-GodoySebastián Vásquez-BarzalloJuan Díaz-RodríguezAna María DíazFernanda GarcíaVanessa RamírezHernán SánchezJosé Luis BarberánJuan Pablo ParedesMónica CevallosFrancisco MontenegroSoraya PuertasKillen BrionesMarlon MartínezJorge Vélez-PáezMario Montalvo-VillagómezLuis HerreraSantiago GarridoIvan SisaManuel JibajaPublished in: Medicine (2024)
Several risk factors were associated with mortality in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection in intensive care units (ICU). We assessed the effect of risk factors related to the characteristics and clinical history of the population, laboratory test results, drug management, and type of ventilation on the probability of survival/discharge from the ICU. A retrospective cohort multicentric study of adults with COVID-19 admitted to the ICU between March 2020 and December 2021. Data were collected from 6 hospitals in 5 cities in Ecuador. The primary outcome was ICU survival/discharge. Survival analysis was conducted using semi-parametric Cox proportional hazards models. Of those admitted to the ICU with COVID-19, (n = 991), mean age was 56.76 ± 13.14, and 65.9% were male. Regarding the primary outcome, 51.1% (n = 506) died and 48.9% (n = 485) survived. Of the group that died, their mean age was higher than the survivors (60.7 vs 52.60 years, respectively), and they had a higher prevalence of comorbidities such as arterial hypertension (37.2% vs 20.4%, respectively) and diabetes mellitus (26.9% vs 15.7%, respectively), with P < .001. In ventilatory management, 32.7% of patients used noninvasive ventilation and high-flow nasal cannula, and 67.3% required invasive ventilatory support. After adjusting for confounders, Cox regression analysis showed that patients were less likely to be discharged alive from the ICU if they met the following conditions: arterial hypertension (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.83 95% CI 0.723-0.964), diabetes mellitus (HR = 0.80 95% CI 0.696-0.938), older than 62 years (HR = 0.86 95% CI 0.790-0.956), obese (body mass index ≥ 30) (HR = 0.78 95% CI 0.697-0.887), 1 unit increase in SOFA score (HR = 0.94 95% CI 0.937-0.961), PaO2/FiO2 ratio <100 mm Hg (HR = 0.84 95% CI 0.786-0.914), and the use of invasive mechanical ventilation (HR = 0.68 95% CI 0.614-0.769). Risk factors associated with increased mortality were older age, obesity, arterial hypertension, and diabetes. Factors such as male gender, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, acute kidney injury, and cancer reported in other investigations did not have the same effect on mortality in our study.
Keyphrases
- mechanical ventilation
- intensive care unit
- coronavirus disease
- arterial hypertension
- risk factors
- acute respiratory distress syndrome
- respiratory failure
- body mass index
- sars cov
- chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
- acute kidney injury
- cardiovascular events
- type diabetes
- metabolic syndrome
- cardiovascular disease
- physical activity
- extracorporeal membrane oxygenation
- chronic kidney disease
- ejection fraction
- young adults
- adipose tissue
- end stage renal disease
- coronary artery disease
- emergency department
- insulin resistance
- weight loss
- squamous cell carcinoma
- mental health
- lung function
- cardiac surgery
- weight gain
- big data
- prognostic factors
- machine learning
- data analysis
- sleep apnea